The Forum Research poll conducted Tuesday and Wednesday, largely before a Sudbury judge acquitted two prominent Liberals of Election Act offences on Wednesday afternoon, found that 45 % of respondents want a Patrick Brown premiership, versus 24 % who say they prefer Kathleen Wynne. More than four in ten (45%) say they support the PCs.
So, Patrick Brown’s Progressive Conservatives now hold a 20 point lead over the governing Liberals.22 % of respondents said they would vote NDP in the next election, putting the party in a statistical tie with the Liberals.The PCs did well with respondents aged 45-54, or 55-64 (49 and 46 % support respective support), along with individuals earning more than $100,000 per year (49% ).
The Liberals secured their best support from Toronto residents (32 %), Ontarians with a post-graduate degree (30 %), or those earning less than $20,000 per year (31 %).
The poll surveyed 946 Ontario adults using telephone robocall and is considered accurate + or – three %, 19 times out of 20.
The Forum Research President Lorne Bozinoff wrote in a press release, “Despite the positive outcome for the Liberals in Sudbury, it hasn’t yet changed any minds, and as the election creeps closer and closer, it seems like the PCs are going to need a major stumble to give the Liberals a chance at re-election.”
7 % of respondents said they would vote for the Green Party and 2 % indicated support for an alternative party.